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What does the (apparently) high turnout mean for the LDs?

By Julian Harris
May 6th, 2010 at 12:08 pm | 7 Comments | Posted in Liberal Democrats, UK Politics

pollingstationFrom media reports and anecdotal experiences, it seems as if turn-out is going to be notably high today. Voting at around 8am this morning, I had to queue for 20 minutes. Upon leaving, the queue was three times longer than when I’d arrived.

Disorganisation seemed partly to blame, but there seems little doubt that people are skipping along to the polling stations in higher numbers than in recent GEs.

Typically this is said to favour Labour, whose voters are often less committed to the old ballot-crossing than their Tory counterparts. As West Hampstead now turns from chilly grey to a bright elucidation of colour, the prospect of a sunny May day could, as it’s also argued, increase turn-out further.

So what does this mean for the Lib Dems? It probably depends on the kind of seat up for grabs.  In the genuinely three-way Hampstead & Kilburn,  there seems a sufficient amount of Lib Dem support in the less salubrious areas, and among young people,  to suggest that it could aid our cause.

Many (tired) eyes will be on my little corner of the world come 4am tomorrow morning, when we’ll discover if Ed Fordham has successfully outed the acerbic south Londoner and ex-thespian Glenda Jackson.

This evening Liberal Vision will be bringing you all the latest news on this blog, and via Twitter.

Don’t forget to track us to see how things are going.

Touch wood for NOM, folks…

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