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Freedom, but only for Jesus-loving ‘Murcans

By Julian Harris
August 17th, 2010 at 1:55 pm | 1 Comment | Posted in Culture, US Politics

The 9/11 attacks were coined an “attack on our freedoms” both in the USA and in other parts of the West (like here). This seemed like reasonable rhetoric, at least until the US government came up with the Patriot Act and a variety of plans to drop a load of bombs on people in the Middle East.

The latest sadly ironic post-9/11 assault on freedom involves the reactionary opposition to some community centre in New York which will apparently include a mosque. This has widely been reported as a plan to “build a mosque on ground zero”, yet as this blog post shows, the mosque isn’t even that close to ground zero:

groundzero

To borrow Big Apple parlance, the mosque is “two blocks” away. Presumably some flats/shops/offices in that area even include people called Mohammed.

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Photo of the Day

By Julian Harris
June 11th, 2010 at 10:51 am | 3 Comments | Posted in International Politics, US Politics

bp

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Healthcare in the USA

By Sara Scarlett
March 21st, 2010 at 8:36 pm | 7 Comments | Posted in US Politics

In honour of Barack Obama’s healthcare bill I made a (de)motivational poster:

If you want to know more about Barack Obama’s healthcare reform go to http://healthcare.cato.org/

Obama - it’s the economy stupid

By Angela Harbutt
January 28th, 2010 at 1:53 pm | No Comments | Posted in US Politics

obama-state-of-the-unionI stayed up late last night to watch the President’s State of the Union address. A year in and Barack Obama has seen his approval ratings plummet. Then again this was a man who a year ago people thought was god. It seemed that just by voting for Obama, Americans believed all their woes would be over.

When they woke up and found it took a bit more than that,  the nation was shocked and appauled. Superman had been hit with a large chunk of kryptonite and things were not all mother and apple pie at the ranch. So this was a speech designed to appeal to the middle classes of America who have shown through poll ratings - and that Massachusettes Massacre - that they expected better. They care more about jobs than healthcare reform (or more accurately “insurance reform”). Surprise surprise.

Overall it was a sound if unthrilling speech -a bit of an acknowledgement that he and his administration could do better, and quite a bit of finger wagging at the Republicans, the pundits and the media for not pulling together more. It was probably too long - and probably tried to cover too many things. It wasnt a bad speech, I dont think Obama can do a bad speech, but it wasnt a great speech.

If  Obama is capable of such a thing as a u-turn this was it. Obama has at last realised that what matter is jobs. Yes folks, it’s the economy stupid. Healthcare was indeed in yesterdays speech - but it was jobs, wealth creation, and tax incentives for business that featured prominently in the opening of his address. Obama has definitely got the message. “Jobs must be our number one focus in 2010, and that’s why I’m calling for a new jobs bill tonight” received the most rapturous applause of the speech as far as I could tell. He proposed small business tax credits on creating jobs and raising salaries; abolishing all capital gains tax on investment for small businesses and tax incentives for all businesses. (This comes after the “big spend”  jobs bill passed with the smallest of majorities in December, including some big infrastructure spending, ran into problems in the Senate. Even Democrats are running out of enthusiasm for more spending). Ok we might have heard the tax breaks for businesses line before in his campaign promises - and not acted on for a 12 months - but by jove I think he’s finally got it.

You will doubtless have read much more thorough analysis elsewhere that cover in detail the other speech highlights; cutting the defecit from 2011( the fact that it wont start for another year brought audible giggles from the floor); education; lots of green energy investment;  another predicatable swipe at Wall Street; another (equally predictable) call for bipartisanship ( have the Republicans not already made it clear that they dont want to play?) and an attack on the Supreme Court ruling last week that gutted Campaign Finance restrictions etc.

What I was looking for as much as anything was his style of delivery - his tone. Serious and repentent, acknowledging he was wrong to spend so much effort on healthcare reform and bail outs and not enough on jobs and the economy? Or the unflappable Obama of old, cool and confident.

His tone was probably about right. Relaxed (no sign of nerves here) but sombre for large swathes of the speech. Its a marginal call but I think a tad too cocky and a shade light on humility - though it, and some self-deprecation, were there to be seen - but quite definitely defiant in his attitude towards the Republicans ( a kind of “play with me or else” approach). He may have taken a few blows in the last 12 months, but he certainly looks like a man still up for the fight. One thing that struck me in particular - his advisors would have been wise to school Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi not to sit there looking quite so smug - grinning like cheshire cats. Not good given their end of year report was definitely a D/E . It is perhaps odd that having spent so much time on his speech, as has been reported, he didn’t take more time to sort out that back line - especially as they were in shot for the vast proportion of his speech.  

So, America is moving, it would seem, towards more business friendly times - and the sobering realisation that it must now turn its attention to the trillion of dollars of debt it has amassed.

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This, Mr President, is how your government will “build a nation”

By Julian Harris
January 5th, 2010 at 8:00 am | 1 Comment | Posted in International Development, International Politics, US Politics

The story, in short:

A consultancy in London provided this nation-building plan to the Pentagon. Wonderfully it ended up online (still available, here).

A quick visual of the plan to build a new nation of Afghanistan…

STEP 1: Look for support! Yes, this is your “Popular Support”

nation-building-a

Step 2: Ah, but these strange A-rab folk are a bit different to us, yes? What about their “Conditions, Beliefs & Structures”? Better shove them in.

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Step 3: But ugh, the insurgents! And all those poppy fields. Better shove them in ‘n’ all…

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Step 4: Right, there might economists in the room. Mention infrastructure and the economy and stuff…

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Step 5: Not to mention the ‘public sector workers’. Fit them in somewhere…

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Step 6: And the Brits, don’t forget them. You know, the ‘Coalition’, the other governments. Include the ‘Coalition’. Still following?

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Step 7: Dammit, there’s still a gap left. Make something up…

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Step 8: Add some colour. That’s better. But actually, what happens when all these things link together? Don’t we need to…

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Step 9: …ah yes, that’s better. Everyone reading from the same hymn sheet now? Ladies and Gentlemen, the Development of Afghanistan Stability!

nation-building-i

YES.

This will definitely work.

GOD BLESS AMERICA!

Hat-tip: Chris Coyne.

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Worst decade ever?

By Julian Harris
December 31st, 2009 at 11:59 pm | 1 Comment | Posted in Satire, US Politics

Reason.com thinks so. Or at least since the ’90s.

Warning: very American.

Happy 2010, from everyone at Liberal Vision.

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Freshman Obama

By Sara Scarlett
December 23rd, 2009 at 2:00 pm | 13 Comments | Posted in US Politics

Barack Obama’s first year in office has not been a resounding success. In ‘The World Today‘, Chatham House’s superb monthly, Nicholas Bouchet rounds up Obama’s “First Year Blues”.

Let’s start at the opinion polls. Obama ranks midway between his two democratic predecessors. At similar stages of their presidencies Carter was at 56% and Clinton was at 49%. Obama comes in at 52%.

“More importantly… is the fall in his approval rating between January and November among independent voters from 62% to 50% and among Republicans from 41% to 18%.”

This bodes very unwell for the upcoming Congressional elections. The Obama administration is suffering a bad case of anti-incumbent malaise. His Nobel Peace prize has been divisive rather than an asset. Bouchet notes that the issues which have marked Obama’s first year have been “the economic stimulus, health care reform, cap-and-trade, the bank bailouts and the nomination of Sonia Sotomayor to the Supreme Court.”

Who could forget the health care debacle? Anti-Obamacare campaigners were painted as individuals who “wanted poor people to die” - a grotesquely unfair and inaccurate criticism. Opposing Obama’s reforms did not entail supporting no reforms at all. In fact there was a widespread consensus that American health care was in a bad way. The debate should have been about how to reform health care and that debate was lost amidst partisan bickering. In the end it didn’t matter whether Obama was proposing a good health care bill or a bad one - they had to get it through, failing to do so would have meant an emasculated administration.

So is it a good bill?! No, not really… Obamacare still means that 32 million Americans (of the original, and misleading, figure of 47 million) will stay uncovered.

And what of the biggest crisis his Administration faces? Bouchet notes “Obama’s ratings were lowest on his handling of the economy and the deficit.” Indeed, the stimulus was ill-thought-out, money was injected into the economy with little thought to how it would actually be spent. It was reckless and it hasn’t helped enormously. “Another potential consequence of Obama becoming a victim of his first-year image” is the hurt Democrats may suffer in the state-level elections where 36 governorships will be at stake. Bouchets rates the chances of Obama losing control of the Senate as unlikely but the ’supermajority’ the Democrats currently enjoy is at risk.

What does the future hold? Well, Clinton survived a poor first term, Carter didn’t. Although Obama is down but not out, Bouchet likens conditions more to Carter’s 1970s than Clinton’s 1990s. A two term presidency is still Obama’s to lose. Whether or not Obama can reinvigorate his election sparkle in the countdown to the midterms will be telling.

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Lord Layard on the cause of long-term unemployment

By Tom Papworth
November 24th, 2009 at 5:35 pm | 8 Comments | Posted in Economics, UK Politics, US Politics

Here is Labour peer and happiness economist Lord Layard on the cause of long-term unemployment in Europe:

Europe has a notorious unemployment problem. But if you break down unemployment into short-term (under a year) and long-term, you find that short-term unemployment is almost the same in Europe as in the U.S. – around 4% of the workforce. But in Europe there are another 4% who have been out of work for over a year, compared with almost none in the United States. The most obvious explanation for this is that in the U.S. unemployment benefits run out after 6 months, while in most of Europe they continue for many years or indefinitely.

Hat tip to the Tim Worstall at the Adam Smith Institute.

Interesting Video on Libertarians in the Military

By Sara Scarlett
November 13th, 2009 at 2:15 pm | 3 Comments | Posted in US Politics

ALEXIS DE TOCQUEVILLE (1805-1859), DEMOCRACY IN AMERICA (1835 AND 1840)

By Barry Stocker
November 5th, 2009 at 12:35 pm | 2 Comments | Posted in Culture, US Politics

tocquevilleTocqueville is a major figure in liberalism the United States and Britain as well as his home country of France.  In France he was a parliamentarian and government minister in the period up to 1851when there was genuine parliamentary politics.

His political career was greatly enhanced by the publication of Democracy in America, which established him as the man who understood the direction of politics and society in the modern world.  He had various links with Britain: his wife was English, he wrote an essay on the English Poor Law, he befriended liberal minded people in his visits including John Stuart Mill.

Mill wrote lengthy reviews of both parts of the Democracy, and Tocqueville’s influence is apparent in On Liberty, where Mill uses the idea of ‘tyranny of the majority’ developed by Tocqueville in the DemocracyThe Democracy is based on a trip Tocqueville made to the United States to observe prison conditions, and which gave him the chance to observe a new political phenomenon: democracy and republicanism in an expanding state.  It is a complex book reflecting the cultural and literary sensibilities of Tocqueville, and his personal and family status in between the aristocratic and democratic worlds.

The book is a fusion of political theory, political science, sociology, literature, and travelogue, and thus would be hard to write now.  The complexity of the United States is discussed with an aphoristic force, which expresses his own conflicting passions and the ambiguity of what he saw.  There is a underlying tension between: Tocqueville’s admiration for democracy as a social spirit of equality, which becomes expressed in political institutions; and his nostalgia for the aristocratic spirit of individual excellence and honour.  The complexity of his personality, and of the Democracy, creates particularly rich ground for differing interpretations of Tocqueville from across a broad political spectrum.  There is some ambiguity, as in any great book, but some interpretations are just wrong, seizing on passages in isolation.  Such mistakes include trying to link Tocqueville with the current religious right in the United States.  Tocqueville in the manner of the Enlightenment believed that religion, particularly Catholic Christianity, was a positive moral force in human history, which provided a basis for liberty in its ethics, but never suggested that theology should be at the basis of political thought; he was not even a Christian himself, but rather a Deist who believed in God, without believing in the truth of any religious text, and he certainly thought there should be a church-state separation.

Maybe the most common mistake is to confuse Tocqueville’s enthusiasm for local self-government in the United States with an uncritical attitude, and with a negative attitude towards the state above the most local level.  Tocqueville makes it clear that he thinks the ‘tyranny of the majority’ is most dangerous at the local level, since it is more likely that opinion will become very homogenised and intolerant within a small sphere.  Participation in the public sphere of a great nation provides some correction to local conformity, and this should be reinforced by a strong federal government.  Tocqueville quotes the Federalist Papers of 1788 by Alexander Hamilton, James Madison and John Jay, which advocated a stronger federal government through acceptance of the new Constitution; and he associates himself with the ‘Republican’ element in American politics which stood for a relatively centralised form of federalism.

Tocqueville also distinguished between political centralisation, which he supports, and administrative centralisation which he opposes.  He admires local self-government in the sense that everyone participates in administration of the locality through taking individual responsibility for local tasks.  For Tocqueville civic (referring to voluntary associations) and political participation are vital components of liberty, as for him liberty was not just being left alone by the state, but something we create through active participation in society at the political, voluntary and economic levels.

Economic prosperity and freedom are seen as resulting from a widespread interest in participation in economic ventures, which is continuous with the spirit of political and voluntary participation.  The economy should be freed from state interference, but the state should take some responsibility for the welfare of the poorest.  The poorest should be supported but not through a redistribution of wealth downwards.  Tocqueville admired the spirit of equality which is at the basis of democracy where it leads individuals to try to rise up economically, but feared its other tendency of pulling the richest down to the level of the poor.  He also feared that those who became rich through industry and commerce would be a harsh and unsympathetic replacement for the old aristocracy.  This is matched by the fear that democracy might lack an equivalent to the old aristocracy in guiding the state with a perspective beyond the immediate movements of popular passion; he identifies courts of justice and the legal profession as a possible replacement.

Tocqueville certainly did not think that pursuit of wealth is immoral, and admired the tendency he observed for Americans to both pursue wealth and to be generous with wealth.  He was anxious that this kind of good self-interest might turn into a very narrow individualism. In his typically ambiguous manner he thought equality and liberty reinforce each other through balanced and limited government, but also feared that a democratic and equal world might become despotic through the disappearance of individuality in a more uniform world, and in a passive attitude towards the central state.

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