By Julian Harris
One of the most ubiquitous faces on television over the past week has been Alastair Campbell, and during Labour’s election campaign the hilariously sinister smirk of Mandelson was never far away. Could this afternoon’s high political action be a reminder of the media-driven dirty politics that these two became famed for?
At the time of writing, there’s been little (or no) word from the Lib Dems all afternoon. Rather, there were initial rumours communicated to the BBC. Gordo then stormed out, with little notice, and declared that he was stepping down (at some or other point in the future) and is followed up by Labour MPs briefing the press that the Lib Dems have approached them to resume (or begin talks).
And still no word from the Lib Dems. Or, for that matter, the Conservatives.
Is it therefore possible that the Lib Dems began talking to Labour, behind closed doors, as a means of playing the two sides off each other – a perfectly common tactic to secure the last final concessions from the Tories. And that Labour, pouncing on this, and perhaps some strife among Tory and / or LD MPs with regards to the coalition, decided to go public – in a (possibly successful) attempt to force Clegg’s hand?
They may also be gambling that this, in itself, is enough to break up the LD/Tory flirtation for good. The interweb is currently hosting thousands of bitter Tories, riling against the Lib Dems – and if anything like this is happening in the Westminster village, it may be too much for Clegg and Cameron to resolve (even if they want to).
Just a thought.
Overall, I don’t see how a Lib-Lab rainbow coalition could possibly work. Yes, I’ve seen the maths – it could, feasibly, be enough. But its majority would be so tight, especially among such disparate parties with no uniting party loyalty, that maintaining control would be extremely difficult.
Such a coalition, I think, would fall within 6 months to a year. As for the (alleged) referendum on PR, this would be tainted by its sponsors: a Lib-Lab coalition that would be heavily resented among a huge chunk of the electorate (certainly in England). We would take a share of the blame for all ensuing disasters, and the Tories would likely clean up at the next (FPTP) election.
While the petulent Tory attitude to this situation – that simply giving them power is “the right thing to do”, driven by their arrogant assumption of being the natural party of government – is extremely unattractive, the result of the election does mean that they hold a stronger hand than us or Labour.
PR is important, but this is a very dangerous situation. Tread carefully, Nick.
UPDATE: ARRGHHH! Nick’s now on the meeeja, saying that no deal with the Tories was done, so he’s talking to Labour. The Tories, similarly, now have a chance to fo to the press and say they’re cutting us off. Extremely tough situation. Have we lost the media tactics, or does all this genuinely reflect what’s happened behind closed doors?